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Geopolitical shocks spike crude and commodities. Energy companies, fertilizers, and metal producers gain. Aviation, paints, and tyre companies suffer input cost shocks. Markets typically recover within 4-6 weeks as new supply chains form.
Nifty 1 Day
-4.8%
Nifty 3 Days
-5.5%
Nifty 1 Week
-4.0%
Nifty 1 Month
-3.2%
Russia launched full-scale invasion of Ukraine on Feb 24, 2022. Crude surged to $130/barrel. Nifty fell 5% in 1 week as FIIs pulled out. India's position as non-aligned buyer of Russian oil eventually became an advantage.
Crude at $130 boosts upstream oil
Energy alternative demand surge
Fertilizer prices surge — Russia major supplier
Crude at $130 — aviation fuel cost surge
Titanium dioxide and crude derivatives spike
Natural rubber prices rise on supply disruption
Russia launched full-scale invasion of Ukraine on Feb 24, 2022. Crude surged to $130/barrel. Nifty fell 5% in 1 week as FIIs pulled out. India's position as non-aligned buyer of Russian oil eventually became an advantage.
Historically, ONGC, Coal India, Chambal Fert were among the strongest performers in the aftermath, based on real 1-week/1-month return data.
The Nifty 50 moved -4.0% in the following week and -3.2% over the following month.
Geopolitical shocks spike crude and commodities. Energy companies, fertilizers, and metal producers gain. Aviation, paints, and tyre companies suffer input cost shocks. Markets typically recover within 4-6 weeks as new supply chains form.
Regime
bear
Repo Rate
4%
India VIX
28.5
Data Confidence
92%